From the website intformitv, an excellent report on the annual IPTV World Forum in London.
We’ve been looking at the developments in Video on Demand (VOD) with interest, and I’m developing a picture of the emerging environment for online VOD and IPTV.
The Free To Air broadcast “channel” is a solution to a specific problem of bandwidth and technology: there is only so much spectrum, and because the content is synchronous (must be delivered to all users at the same time), governments divide up the spectrum into discrete parts, and lease the parts to broadcast channels. (They’re like property developers of the airwaves).
The channels then look at the other 3 or 30 channels who have spectrum allocations and say “Hmm, how can I develop a programming strategy that brings a viable number of consumers to watch the channel, so I can sell the advertising space and make some money?” Viewers have low loyalty to channels (except for substitutable products like News), but nevertheless the channel needs to have enough of a brand presence to sit in the viewer’s mind as an option worth looking at in the TV guide. Outside of the big ticket items, channels will try and bring together a certain sequence of programming designed to keep a particular kind of viewer in front of the box. Therefore, “comedy night”, or “sports”. At the end of the day, however, I want to watch Desperate Housewives, and not “TV2″ or “Channel 7″.
In the digital / on-demand environment, this changes and the viewer has a vastly increased range of viewing inventory available. Why do I have to wait for the channel to get around to showing Ferris Bueller’s Day Off again? I don’t, it’s the long tail. In this model, what I am looking for as a viewer is not a channel, but a platform which will give me the largest range of available content that I want to view, for the right price. SkyTV and Foxtel are platforms. YouTube, Google, and MySpace all platforms.
As a platform provider, the game is different than running a channel. Platforms are natural monopolies, the best platform is the one with the largest amount of content that is easy to access for a good price. Mental barriers to switching platforms (and in the case of Digital TV, technological barriers such as the set top box) are high. If a Video on Demand subscription service provides 80% of what I need, I am unlikely to switch to a new service that has 90% of what I need, unless there is a really compelling driver such as unique content that I am desperate for.
For customer acquisition in the online environment, where there are multiple platforms, the drivers are user experience and content selection. This is why Apple/iTunes is so successful, because their user experience is far ahead of any of the Windows Media solutions, even though some of those providers have more diverse content. We’ll talk more about that another day.
The critical thing is that channels are in a tough position because there are really two roles in the on-demand content ecology - the rights owner, who makes the content and licenses it; and the platform, who is the user’s interface to that content. Channels are not quite in either of these modes - usually they have been retailers for content rather than commissioners; and they don’t know how to create compelling user experiences for accessing a complete range of content.
Of course, ways of discovering new content are always needed, but we know from the music industry that people are decreasingly looking to radio, physical stores and other mass distribution tools to discover music, they will find it in social networks based around a particular genre or content offering. The brand promise of the networks and the labels (”we are the best way for you to find the music you like”) is dissolving because it is no longer true. For example, Robert and I both like hip-hop, he hears on a message board or a MySpace link about a hot new MC, downloads an MP3 or sees the video on YouTube, then decides to buy it if he likes it. That is just a much more influential recommendation mechanism than a giant brand campaign with billboards and grammys.
Where is this going? Well I believe the channels have to clarify their roles. They get more into the content game, owning the content rights for their properties and taking a more active role in selling that content through various distribution platforms, instead of just their own. Or, if they’re brave, they get into the platform game, and try and either partner with or displace the YouTubes and iTunes of the world, but creating a new platform is harder than you think.
Basically, that’s why I’m skeptical about the on-demand offerings from BBC, Channel 4, TVNZ, etc. iTunes is a proven model. Even though the range of content is not yet what it could be, there is enough compelling, big-ticket content to make sales. The value proposition is “Lost and 24 on your iPod.” The channels’ offering is “hard-to-use low quality versions of we’re not quite sure how much content we’ll be able to get rights to put online”.
From the article:
Arjang Zadeh of Accenture had an important message for current and prospective service providers. He pointed out that television services are low margin compared to broadband. Delivering video services is not a simple technical or operational proposition. “Despite industry hype, this is not top of the mind for consumers,” he warned. “The biggest shift in the market is not satellite or cable to IPTV,” he said “but broadcast TV to web-based TV on the PC”.
The high-value users who will pay for content by and large have already got satellite or cable. Given that BSkyB offer a broadband version of Sky for their subscribers, will they migrate to any of the new online-only players which have less content? I can’t see it happening. And will there be users who have not yet bothered to get cable or satellite who will find the VOD via Internet compelling? I don’t see that either.
This post is already too long and I’ve barely scratched the surface of the issues. More another time.